Research Article

Neural-Fuzzy Approach for Power Load Forecasting Analysis

by  J. Kumaran, G. Ravi, R. Rajkumar
journal cover
International Journal of Computer Applications
Foundation of Computer Science (FCS), NY, USA
Volume 69 - Issue 16
Published: May 2013
Authors: J. Kumaran, G. Ravi, R. Rajkumar
10.5120/12048-8116
PDF

J. Kumaran, G. Ravi, R. Rajkumar . Neural-Fuzzy Approach for Power Load Forecasting Analysis. International Journal of Computer Applications. 69, 16 (May 2013), 31-35. DOI=10.5120/12048-8116

                        @article{ 10.5120/12048-8116,
                        author  = { J. Kumaran,G. Ravi,R. Rajkumar },
                        title   = { Neural-Fuzzy Approach for Power Load Forecasting Analysis },
                        journal = { International Journal of Computer Applications },
                        year    = { 2013 },
                        volume  = { 69 },
                        number  = { 16 },
                        pages   = { 31-35 },
                        doi     = { 10.5120/12048-8116 },
                        publisher = { Foundation of Computer Science (FCS), NY, USA }
                        }
                        %0 Journal Article
                        %D 2013
                        %A J. Kumaran
                        %A G. Ravi
                        %A R. Rajkumar
                        %T Neural-Fuzzy Approach for Power Load Forecasting Analysis%T 
                        %J International Journal of Computer Applications
                        %V 69
                        %N 16
                        %P 31-35
                        %R 10.5120/12048-8116
                        %I Foundation of Computer Science (FCS), NY, USA
Abstract

This paper presents Neuro-Fuzzy approach for forecasting analysis in power load. Forecasting the power load is a difficult task for a country and both positive and negative load forecasting makes a big problem for the country. An approach that Neuro-Fuzzy model is proposed for forecast power load in this paper. The proposed model a fuzzy back propagation network is constructed and then a fuzzy intersection is applied and after that de-fuzzify the result to generate a crisp value by using Radial Basis Function network (RBF). The proposed model improves the accuracy of power load forecasting. The forecasted results obtained by neuro-fuzzy method were compared with the Artificial Neural Network by using Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) to measure accuracy of the result. The experimental result shows that the neuro-fuzzy implementations have more accuracy.

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Index Terms
Computer Science
Information Sciences
No index terms available.
Keywords

Artificial Neural Network Load forecasting Neuro-fuzzy model Radial basis function network

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